Are clinical psychologists losing business to AI?

So much advice is dished out, not only on the internet and social media, but also by people you meet, who give you all sorts of advice. Then there’s this cringe-worthy advice that radio jocks give. They’re basic homilies, sort of motherhood and apple pie stuff. I mean, really, who are they trying to impress? And they say it in the sincerest of voices, as if this is special knowledge.

Now I’m not decrying pieces of wisdom, particularly personally earned pieces of wisdom. That’s another story. But to trot out platitudes on all sorts of things, like life, health and relationships, come on, man. What gives them the right to say all this stuff?

And worst of all, on the radio yesterday was an absolute bore who gave all sorts of modern woo-woo advice with no scientific basis. He didn’t allow the presenter to get a word in edgeways, and she didn’t even challenge him on anything. She just sort of oohed and aahed, and that was it.

Luckily, you can just turn the radio down, and then you can’t hear it any more.

So what’s happening with where people get advice? And let’s not just talk about ordinary advice, like how to cook a meal or protect yourself from sunburn. Let’s talk about psychologists, especially clinical psychologists. Are they under threat from AI?

If you dig into this, you’ll find all sorts of opinions about what AI might mean for clinical psychologists.

For people in rural areas, including those in poorer countries such as South Africa and India, access to psychological services can be limited by cost and distance. AI offers an alternative. You can ask questions, describe what you’re experiencing and get a response without having to pay for a consultation.

And it’s not only people who cannot afford a psychologist who are turning to AI. Some use it to explore symptoms, wondering whether they might have depression, anxiety, ADHD or another condition.

This can be a useful starting point. AI might help people put their concerns into words and decide whether they need professional help. But an initial self-assessment is not a clinical diagnosis, however convincing the chatbot sounds.

What about more serious problems? An armed robbery, a brutal assault, abuse, a nasty divorce or a life-threatening illness can leave people struggling to cope.

Some might turn to AI for help, particularly if they cannot afford professional assistance. But this is where the limitations become more apparent. A clinical psychologist can explore a person’s background, ask probing questions and build an understanding of what is happening over time. AI can offer sympathetic responses, but sounding understanding and actually understanding someone are two different things.

Some people would say, of course, that you can solve your own problems. Just ask a friend. Somebody once said to me, “What do you need a psychologist for? Your friend can tell you if you’re an asshole or not.”

But that’s really superficial advice. A psychologist can help change your perception of something, or of yourself, which can be useful. A friend might give you an honest opinion, but that is not the same as professional psychological help.

Having said that, perhaps the over-reliance on psychologists has become too much these days. Not every unhappy experience requires a diagnosis, and not every difficult period in life calls for therapy. Sometimes we’re simply going through a rough patch and have to find our own way through it.

A useful tool, not a replacement

AI is also being used by psychologists themselves, including for administrative work and preparing educational material. So the technology may prove useful to the profession rather than simply taking business away from it.

The greater concern is that people may put too much faith in what AI tells them. A chatbot can sound authoritative while giving incorrect information, overlooking important symptoms or offering reassurance when someone needs professional help.

So are clinical psychologists really under threat from AI? Probably not in the way some might imagine. AI seems to be becoming a first port of call for some people seeking psychological advice, particularly those who cannot afford professional services. But there is a considerable difference between asking a chatbot about your problems and having a trained professional assess them.

AI might help you work out what you want to ask. It might even help you recognise that you need help. But a convincing answer isn’t necessarily a correct one. And when it comes to your mental health, that distinction matters.


Editorial Disclosure & Disclaimer

Financial News Daily is an independent business news syndicate and a wholly owned subsidiary of Idea Accelerator. We publish financial, environmental and corporate commentary for digital platforms, media outlets and organisations. Nothing published here constitutes investment, legal or financial advice. All opinions are editorial commentary on matters of public and economic interest.

Forecourt convenience stores battling to reposition with high petrol prices

The rise of forecourt convenience stores was unfortunate for corner cafés. Many went out of business as the forecourt drive took over. There are now billions being made from forecourts.

But forecourt convenience stores come in many shapes and sizes, from the smallest grubby little ones to ones that look like smaller versions of modern supermarkets.

With petrol prices rocketing to levels that put pressure on household budgets, forecourt convenience stores face a growing challenge, amongst other competitive forces: how to persuade motorists to spend money in their shops when they’re already paying so much to fill their tanks.

Well, there are others that are, you know, working, the bakkie brigade, for example. They’ll come there and they’ll want to buy a sausage roll or a cup of coffee from the forecourt.

That gets onto the story of what people now want from those forecourt stores and what the forecourt store owners are doing. Basically they’re repositioning to find the biggest sellers, foodstuffs and other stuff that provide convenience, and any other convenience like coffee, ATMs, hot foods and deep-cut specials.

Well, this is all in theory, but let’s see how it pans out, because many people would still go to the corner store, although they are now owned by foreign nationals and they’ve dug themselves right inside residential communities, such as Kensington B for one in Randburg.

Talking about Randburg, there’s a forecourt shop there called Mnandi Market where the demographics of the market are such that the forecourt store is catering for that, having very cheap cake and bread and all sorts of cheap lines that draw people in from their cars after they’ve filled up with petrol, or they come there just to buy from that store.

It’s also got, last time I went into that store, was Bootlegger’s. Can you believe that? In a sort of downmarket area, they have a Bootlegger’s.

All of this is about trying to capture additional revenue, and that’s the problem with a lot of these filling stations, because their margins are pretty slim on the petrol. So they’re beefing up their margins with these stores that they’ve got. So the better these stores, the more money they make.

When I lived at the intersection between Craighall, Blairgowrie and Bordeaux, there was a forecourt opposite where I lived, and they had a very good mix of all sorts of things, from doughnuts to pizzas and Seattle Coffee, and they were trying out new things all the time. Oh yes, and they had their own menu of slap chips and hot dog rolls and all of that type of stuff. And they are well supported by the franchisor for specials on groceries.

Yet when you see the same type of franchise operating here in, say, Fish Hoek, there’s a poky, tiny little store with very little to offer, except a coffee machine and a few sausage rolls warming in an oven, and from time to time they have specials on fruit and vegetables, but that’s basically all.

So you have top stores to those that are really struggling. And the reason is because they’re not spending money. In other words, you’ve got to build proper facilities, shelving, equipment, etc. And if you’re not prepared to do that, well, you’re not really in the game.

You take a small main road like Fish Hoek Main Road, where you have four service stations, each with forecourt shops. The competition is pretty high, which brings another side to it.

With so many forecourt shops around, competition is intensifying. The smart operators know that selling petrol is no longer enough. They have to give customers a reason to stop, shop and spend.


Editorial Disclosure & Disclaimer

Financial News Daily is an independent business news syndicate and a wholly owned subsidiary of Idea Accelerator. We publish financial, environmental and corporate commentary for digital platforms, media outlets and organisations. Nothing published here constitutes investment, legal or financial advice. All opinions are editorial commentary on matters of public and economic interest.

Trapped in extended winter in Cape Town while Joburg sizzles

A lot of people are complaining about the weather here in Cape Town. People are wearing three layers of clothing because it’s so cold. Some say it feels exactly like winter, except there are more daylight hours. What’s going on? Have the winters now extended themselves? Is it because of global warming?

Meanwhile, in Johannesburg, people are diving for pools. They are having two to three showers a day, and the heat there is sweltering hot, up over the thirty-degree Celsius mark. So, this is very strange weather behaviour in Johannesburg. It seems like they don’t have spring anymore. They just go straight from winter into summer.

Yet in Cape Town, everyone was expecting, you know, things to improve around about the 21st of September. Here we are a month later, and it just goes on and on, and the weather forecast is very much the same for the next ten days. So when will summer come? No one knows. When will spring come? Or is this the type of spring now that we can expect? It’s crazy. Pity the retailers who are trying to make a killing from beachwear and summer outfits this season.

I passed, that was already about a month and a half ago, a shop, I think it was the White House, with a beautiful display of beachwear and beach towels. And I was thinking to myself, wow, what a different thing to be here in the Cape and see a display like this for beachwear, when in Johannesburg you would see summer swimwear but for pools.

Yet the problem I’m Cape Town is, where are the sales? Where are the people on the beach? The beach is too cold for people. Some people are even saying that they want to move away from the coast next year because of this cold that just persists.

So despite this rush to the coast by mainly retirees and people trying to get out of Johannesburg, now people are trying to go back to Johannesburg.

The weather in Cape Town is a big factor, and you’ve got to be able to handle lots of rainy weather, biting cold when the wind comes straight from the ocean, mainly southerlies in False Bay, and you’ve got to live with these miserable overcast days. And, you know, people in South Africa, they’re used to sunshine. So when the sun doesn’t shine, they’re not really in high spirits.

Anyway, we’ll take a brief look at what’s really going on with these weather patterns.

It feels like winter has overstayed its welcome in Cape Town, with freezing water temperatures keeping the beaches empty well into October while Joburgers are diving into pools and showering several times a day in a scorched-earth heatwave. According to meteorologists, this stark contrast comes down to a stubborn meteorological tug-of-war. Persistent, slow-moving cold fronts sweeping up from the South Atlantic continue to lock the Western Cape in a chilly marine microclimate, while the adjacent ocean—slow to shed its winter chill—acts like a massive natural air conditioner, keeping the coastal air damp and cold.

At the same time, high-pressure systems sitting over the interior are trapping intense sunshine and baking the Highveld. Weather experts note that these transitional seasons are increasingly prone to getting “stuck” due to atmospheric volatility and blocking pressure patterns.

While older locals in Cape Town might fondly recall strolling around in shorts and T-shirts even in winter years ago, these days climate disruption seems to stretch out the cold, leaving them shivering in the low teens while the rest of the country sizzles.

I think a lot of people, including many business people, can’t wait for summer, real summer weather, because then they can start making money hand over fist again.

Governments failing their people

Monday Morning Reckoning

News of violent unrest in Paris, amid protests against immigration, brings home a question that is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore: are governments failing their people across the world?

Immigration has become a major political issue throughout Europe, including Italy, Germany and the United Kingdom. The United States has its own problems.

In South Africa citizens took to the streets this year to protest against illegal immigration, forcing foreign nationals out of their communities. How successful these efforts have been is difficult to establish, particularly when reliable statistics are lacking.

But immigration is only one symptom of a much bigger problem. What has happened to governments?

In the United States, military action against another country has sent oil prices soaring, leaving ordinary citizens around the world to pay the price.

In South Africa, healthcare, education, social services and infrastructure are all under pressure. Corruption and the apparent inability to manage basic public services have become persistent features of the national life.

Governments are supposed to serve their citizens. People pay taxes and expect safe streets, functioning schools, accessible healthcare and reliable infrastructure. These are not unreasonable demands. They are the basic obligations of government.

Then there are the countries from which people flee in search of better lives. What has gone badly wrong in their own countries that they are prepared to leave everything behind? Or is the immigration orchestrated? The resulting migration places pressure on the countries receiving them, creating another set of problems for governments ill-equipped to deal with them.

The question is whether systems of government are still fit for purpose. Democracy has its shortcomings, not least politicians who appear more interested in retaining power than solving problems. But what is the alternative?

There seems no obvious replacement for government as the organising principle of society. The challenge is to make governments more accountable, competent and responsive to the people they serve.

Good news to end on

An old friend sent me an article about The Citizen newspaper, which is performing strongly and growing younger readers. This is encouraging news in an industry where newspapers are collapsing around the world.

The irony is that The Citizen was once a detested publication. Yet The Citizen has thrived. The leftist liberal publications that condemned it have disappeared long ago. The Citizen retains an editorial balance, offers objective reporting and commentary, and is an entertaining read. That last quality matters more than newspaper executives realise. The Citizen offers a reminder of good things that just get better.


Editorial Disclosure & Disclaimer

Financial News Daily is an independent business news syndicate and a wholly owned subsidiary of Idea Accelerator. We publish financial, environmental and corporate commentary for digital platforms, media outlets and organisations. Nothing published here constitutes investment, legal or financial advice. All opinions are editorial commentary on matters of public and economic interest.

Are you charging enough for your product or service?

How high can you price your product or service? There is no simple answer. It depends on what you are selling, who your customers are, what your competitors charge and, most importantly, what customers believe your product or service is worth.

Many businesses take a straightforward approach to pricing. They calculate their costs, add a profit margin and then look at what their competitors are charging. If everybody in the neighbourhood charges R500 a day for house-sitting, for example, that becomes the going rate.

But what if your product or service offers something better than the competition? Could you charge more?

This is where pricing becomes interesting, particularly for businesses offering something distinctive rather than a standard product or service.

A conversation about cookware recently got me thinking about this.

Consider a company such as Carol Boyes, which sells designer tableware and other household products at premium prices. Four of its sketchbook-designed plates can cost around R1,500, depending on the range. Customers are paying for more than the basic function of a plate. They are buying the design, the brand and the appeal of owning something distinctive.

Now consider a retailer such as Home Stuff at Ferndale on Republic shopping centre in Randburg. Its range includes Mason Cash mixing bowls from England, Guzzini glassware from Italy, Le Creuset cookware and an extensive selection of Maxwell Williams products.

These are different brands, products and price points, catering to customers with different preferences and budgets.

The examples illustrate why pricing is not simply a matter of calculating costs and adding a profit margin. Some customers want a functional product at a reasonable price. Others are prepared to pay more for design, quality, brand reputation or exclusivity.

Three ways to approach pricing

There are three common approaches to pricing.

Cost-plus pricing means calculating what it costs to produce or supply a product and adding a profit margin. It helps ensure that costs are covered, but it does not necessarily reflect what customers might be prepared to pay.

Competition-based pricing means looking at what other businesses charge for similar products or services. This is useful in markets where customers can easily compare prices, but it can lead to businesses simply copying their competitors.

Value-based pricing takes a different approach. It considers what the product or service is worth to the customer. That value might come from superior quality, convenience, reliability, design, exclusivity or the financial benefits the customer receives.

For a business with a distinctive offering, this last approach is particularly worth considering. A consultant whose advice saves a client a substantial amount of money, for example, may be able to charge a much higher fee than someone offering a more routine service.

The question is whether customers recognise the difference and are willing to pay for it.

What happens if you raise your prices?

Suppose you believe your product is worth more than you are charging. Before increasing the price, you need to consider how customers might respond.

Will they continue buying at the higher price, or will they switch to a competitor? If you sell fewer units, will the additional profit on each sale compensate for the lost volume? Could a price increase improve your profitability, or would it simply make your offering less competitive?

You also need to consider what differentiates your product from the alternatives. If customers cannot see a meaningful difference, persuading them to pay more may be difficult.

And a premium price creates expectations. Customers who pay more will expect the quality, service and overall experience to justify what they spend.

There is no guarantee that increasing prices will improve a business’s financial performance. Equally, keeping prices low simply because that is what competitors do could mean missing an opportunity to earn a better return.

Pricing decisions therefore require research and careful consideration of the market, customer behaviour, costs and potential demand.

If you are contemplating a significant change in your pricing strategy, it may be worth consulting a specialist who understands value-based pricing and can help you assess the opportunities and risks.

The objective is not necessarily to charge the highest price possible. It is to establish whether customers would be willing to pay more for what you offer, and whether doing so would make your business more profitable in the long run.

Editorial Disclosure & Disclaimer

Financial News Daily is an independent business news syndicate and a wholly owned subsidiary of Idea Accelerator. We publish financial, environmental and corporate commentary for digital platforms, media outlets and organisations. Nothing published here constitutes investment, legal or financial advice. All opinions are editorial commentary on matters of public and economic interest.

The battle for land: South Africa’s housing needs and property developments

We don’t cover the property market particularly often, but it is worth looking at what is happening across South Africa. Municipalities in Johannesburg and Cape Town are identifying land for development, while PRASA, the country’s rail operator, is exploring opportunities to develop its property portfolio. The Gautrain’s planned expansion raises another question: what happens to homeowners whose properties stand in the path of new infrastructure?

Behind these developments lies an enormous demand for housing. South Africa needs more affordable homes, but there is also demand for middle-income housing, rental accommodation and retirement properties. The question is not simply how many homes can be built, but where they should be located, who will be able to afford them and what the consequences will be for existing communities.

The pressure to build

The City of Johannesburg’s 2026 Land Assembly Strategy identified approximately 6,427 hectares of council-owned land through an initial screening exercise. This does not mean that all the land is ready for development, but it indicates the scale of the potential resource.

One major project is Southern Farms, a proposed development covering approximately 4,000 hectares in the south of Johannesburg. The scheme is intended to deliver at least 43,000 housing units over about ten years, catering for different income groups and incorporating community facilities and economic activity.

Cape Town is pursuing its own programme. The City has reported that 14 sites have been released, with the potential to provide about 7,000 homes, including affordable and social housing. A further 39 sites are in the pipeline, with a potential yield of approximately 40,000 units.

These are substantial numbers, although potential housing yields should not be confused with homes that are already under construction or ready for occupation. Planning approvals, infrastructure, finance and the economics of individual projects will determine how much of this development eventually materialises.

The underlying need is clear. Many households cannot afford conventional property prices, while rising rents make saving for a deposit increasingly difficult. For first-time buyers, home ownership remains an important aspiration, even if it is becoming harder to achieve.

Public land becomes a development opportunity

Municipalities are increasingly looking to their property portfolios as a means of expanding housing supply and attracting private-sector investment.

The model extends beyond selling land to developers. Projects can combine affordable rental accommodation, social housing, homes for sale, commercial premises and community facilities. Higher-density developments near transport routes and employment centres can also reduce the need for people to travel long distances to work.

PRASA is pursuing opportunities of its own through its property subsidiary, Intersite Asset Investments. Its development pipeline includes residential accommodation, student housing, retail and mixed-use projects around railway stations. The attraction is obvious: land near established transport infrastructure can provide access to commuter markets while helping to bring housing closer to jobs.

But the success of these projects depends on more than the availability of land. Rail operations, security, municipal infrastructure, access roads and the condition of existing facilities can all complicate development.

There is also a question of how these public assets are used and who ultimately benefits. Housing close to transport and employment can be valuable to lower-income households, but the completed properties still have to be affordable to the people they are intended to serve.

The pressure on established communities

Not every proposed development will be welcomed by the people already living in the area.

Along the St James coastline in Cape Town, proposals for multi-storey development on PRASA land have raised concerns about sea views, traffic and the character of the neighbourhood. This stretch of coastline has long been valued for its relatively quiet residential environment, with the mountain limiting opportunities for additional construction.

The area is also an example of how geography and property values complicate the housing debate. Building on steep or constrained land can be expensive, while well-located coastal properties are already beyond the reach of many ordinary buyers.

For residents, the prospect of substantial new developments raises legitimate questions about building heights, traffic capacity, infrastructure and the effect on their surroundings. For developers, the same land represents an opportunity to create additional accommodation in a sought-after location.

The challenge is to reconcile these competing interests. The demand for housing is real, but it does not automatically settle the question of what should be built on a particular site or how a development should be designed.

The Gautrain’s proposed expansion presents a different problem. Where new infrastructure requires existing homes to be acquired, affected homeowners will want fair, market-related compensation and clarity about the process. The public benefit of improved transport does not remove the need to deal properly with the people whose properties are affected.

The economics of owning property

The demand for housing also needs to be considered against the costs of owning and maintaining property.

Home ownership is often seen as a long-term financial goal, particularly by people who have spent years paying rent. Yet some retirees are deliberately choosing to rent rather than own a home. They would rather avoid the maintenance, repairs and administrative responsibilities that come with property ownership.

Coastal properties can be particularly demanding to maintain. Salt air, damp and exposure to the elements take their toll, while rental properties bring the additional risk of damage by tenants.

I recently spoke to someone who had sold a second property in Johannesburg that he had been renting out while living in Cape Town. The annual maintenance costs and the burden of property-related taxes had made the investment increasingly unattractive.

This is an important consideration for anyone assessing the property market. A house is not simply an asset that rises or falls in value. It also carries ongoing costs, and a rental property has to generate enough income to cover those expenses while providing an acceptable return.

Meanwhile, homeowners in ordinary suburbs are finding ways to make their existing properties work harder. Extensions and additions provide accommodation for tenants, generating supplementary income at a time when household budgets are under pressure. This kind of incremental development can add to the housing supply without requiring large new estates.

More homes, but at what cost?

South Africa’s housing needs will continue to create opportunities for municipalities, public agencies and private developers. Affordable housing, rental accommodation and developments near transport routes will remain important parts of the picture. Retirement housing and coastal property will serve different markets, with their own financial and geographical constraints.

But the availability of land is only one part of the equation. Infrastructure, affordability, planning decisions and the interests of existing communities will influence which projects proceed and what they eventually deliver.

The battle over property development is likely to intensify as South Africa struggles to accommodate the housing needs of its citizens. Municipalities face mounting pressure to deliver more homes, while public land is increasingly viewed as a resource that can be unlocked through development and private-sector investment. But questions remain about how that land should be used, who should benefit and how the interests of existing communities should be protected. Expect this to be a hotly debated issue as more projects move from proposals to planning and implementation.


Editorial Disclosure & Disclaimer

Financial News Daily is an independent business news syndicate and a wholly owned subsidiary of Idea Accelerator. We publish financial, environmental and corporate commentary for digital platforms, media outlets and organisations. Nothing published here constitutes investment, legal or financial advice. All opinions are editorial commentary on matters of public and economic interest.

The culprits behind rocketing food prices?

Food prices are continually on the rise, slowly but relentlessly, affecting everyone, especially the poor, whether they live in rural areas or cities. When the news media publish articles about food prices and surveys, everyone tends to look at food manufacturers and retailers. But one has to look a lot deeper than that to understand the causes of rising food prices. We won’t go into the causes of poverty, because that has very much to do with a government that has ruled for thirty years and made very little inroad into improving the lives of millions of people, and that requires a different type of analysis. Instead, let’s look at the reasons for rising food prices and the costs surrounding them.

If you look at it, you’ll see that the state is a major contributor to rising food prices. The government struggles to keep petroleum prices down while collecting substantial revenue from fuel taxes and levies. Then there is electricity, which has become extraordinarily expensive, despite the fact that South Africa once enjoyed some of the lowest electricity prices in the world. Remember that petrol and electricity are inputs into agriculture, manufacturing, food processing and distribution, so when their costs rise, the increases work their way through the entire supply chain, from the farmer preparing the land and harvesting the crop to the factory processing the food and the retailer putting it on the shelf; farmers are often blamed for rising food prices, but they too have had to contend with higher input costs, while the state has presided over the deterioration of transport infrastructure, ports and railways, adding further costs and inefficiencies to the movement of goods around the country. One cannot look at food prices in isolation. No one can.

Rising labour costs also contribute to food prices. This is a touchy subject, because wages and employment conditions are protected by the state and organised labour, but in a developing country such as South Africa, there is another side to the argument: when minimum wage requirements and other employment costs make it too expensive for businesses to employ additional workers, those who already have jobs may be protected while others are excluded from the opportunity to find employment, leaving more people dependent on social grants or family members to survive. The challenge is to find a balance between protecting workers from exploitation and ensuring that businesses can afford to employ more people, because higher wages for some do not necessarily translate into better living conditions for everyone.

The private sector, meanwhile, has to remain competitive. This is why retailers are sourcing products from international markets in an effort to keep prices down. Some imported products may be inferior to locally manufactured alternatives, but they are cheaper, which makes them attractive to consumers struggling to make ends meet. Their arrival, however, puts additional pressure on local manufacturers, who must compete with imports while trying to contain their own costs by sourcing inputs both locally and internationally. Businesses are operating in a competitive market and have every incentive to keep prices down: they are accountable to shareholders, and if they cannot make a profit, their share prices suffer and their businesses may eventually fail. They cannot sustain losses indefinitely.

Anyone planning a serious review of food prices in South Africa will have to examine all the contributing factors, using researchers who are impartial, non-political and analytical enough to get to the root causes of continuing price increases, rather than relying on anecdotal evidence or listening to politicians standing up and blaming farmers, manufacturers and retailers.


Editorial Disclosure & Disclaimer

Financial News Daily is an independent business news syndicate and a wholly owned subsidiary of Idea Accelerator. We publish financial, environmental and corporate commentary for digital platforms, media outlets and organisations. Nothing published here constitutes investment, legal or financial advice. All opinions are editorial commentary on matters of public and economic interest.

Winners and Losers of Record Crude Oil Prices — While Everyone Is Held Over a Barrel


While many people in countries like South Africa suffer because of the oil prices, and make no mistake, businesses are feeling the brunt too, as well as those companies with large fleets, farmers who are dependent on oil prices, fuel prices, are under major strain, there are countries and producers that are benefiting from the record high prices.

Because here’s what nobody wants to say out loud when they’re filling up at the pump and watching the numbers spin past the point where they stop being numbers and start being a sick joke—while South Africa gets squeezed, while the small farmer does the maths on diesel and realizes the tractor might as well stay in the shed, while the logistics guy with three trucks and a bond on all of them lies awake wondering which route he can cut, which driver he can let go, which customer he can politely beg for a fuel levy, the people on the other end of that same barrel are having a very different year, because oil doesn’t care about fairness, it just flows to whoever can move it, refine it, or sit on a pipeline that bypasses the very Strait that’s causing the whole mess, and that’s why you get this bizarre 2026 scoreboard where Iran—yes, Iran, the country everyone was told the war was about—ends up with more money, not less, where Oman quietly cashes in because its ports sit outside the Gulf, where Saudi Arabia dusts off the East-West pipeline it built decades ago for exactly this kind of rainy day, where America and Russia and Norway and Brazil and Canada all pick up extra billions while the rest of us are told to carpool and pray for a ceasefire, and where refineries—the middlemen everyone forgets about—laugh all the way to the bank on crack spreads that would make a pirate blush, and none of that changes the fact that the world is still addicted, still drilling, still pretending that solar and wind and hydro are going to save us on a timeline that matches the one in the ground, which is why the real question isn’t who wins this round, it’s what happens when the oil doesn’t just get expensive because somebody closed a strait, but because there’s simply less of it left to go around.

This war with Iran at the beginning of the year seems to have blown up in America’s face because now Iran itself is one of the biggest beneficiaries of high crude oil prices. But there are many other countries that are benefiting, including the United States, Russia, Norway, and a host of Middle East countries. What’s happened is that refineries are booming, achieving record profits, but all over the world countries are suffering because of high oil prices.

We’ve all been told, or we are all aware of, the limited lifespan of fossil fuels. Whether many will see it in their lifetimes is another story, but there have been so many warnings about the need to go on to alternative fuels and use fuels such as solar, wind, hydro. Yet the world’s appetite doesn’t stop. The current oil price crisis is mainly because of a, let’s hope it’s a temporary shutoff of certain oil supplies, but it still goes to show how many countries and their industries are reliant on fossil fuels. It seems the world is getting no nearer to reducing fossil fuel consumption. This is especially so because when the fuel price rockets as it has, everyone is held over a barrel because of crude oil prices. That shows this dependency. It’s like the oxygen for entire economies. The drilling for fossil fuels continues as new oil grounds are found, and it just goes on and on. What happens when oil reserves worldwide start declining? And maybe at a pace more rapid than some people envisage. This is a worrying thought.

And that’s the trap—the ordinary guy with a diesel bakkie, the farmer with a single tractor, the small logistics outfit with three trucks and a bond on all of them—they don’t get a seat at the table where the Strait of Hormuz is discussed, they don’t get a phone call from the oil minister, they don’t get to hedge like Exxon or flip a refinery margin like Valero, they just get the bill, week after week, and the only lever they have is less—less driving, less idling, less planting, less delivering, less hiring, less dreaming—until the geopolitical weather changes, and by then some of them will have already sold the truck, shut the workshop, let the land go fallow, or watched their margins disappear into a fuel tank that never seems to fill the same way twice, which is why the high oil price story isn’t just a market story, it’s a story about who gets to wait and who can’t afford to.

In the meantime, for the average person who fills up their car with diesel or petrol, the small farmer, the small logistics company, there’s nothing that they can do about it except to try use less in whatever way is possible until the geopolitical forces that are dominating and controlling crude oil prices subside. We will continue to all be held over a barrel of crude oil.


Editorial Disclosure & Disclaimer

Financial News Daily is an independent business news syndicate and a wholly owned subsidiary of Idea Accelerator. We publish financial, environmental and corporate commentary for digital platforms, media outlets and organisations. Nothing published here constitutes investment, legal or financial advice. All opinions are editorial commentary on matters of public and economic interest.

Oil Prices, Middle East Tensions and the Business News to Watch This Week

Monday Morning Reckoning

Everybody seems to be talking about how the rising petrol price is hitting household budgets. One man I spoke to said that about five years ago it cost him just over R300 to fill his car’s tank. Now the bill is approaching R900. That’s almost three times as much.

The question is who benefits when oil prices rise so sharply. Oil-producing countries can reap substantial rewards from higher prices, particularly when supplies are constrained. But the picture is more complicated than that: the benefits depend on how much a country produces, how much it exports and what it costs to extract the oil.

The conflict in the Middle East has put the region’s oil supplies and shipping routes under renewed scrutiny. The Strait of Hormuz, in particular, is a critical route for international oil shipments. Any disruption can send prices higher, with consequences for businesses and consumers around the world.

Oil is also becoming an increasingly important geopolitical issue. Reports of Ukrainian attacks on Russian fuel-processing facilities have added another dimension to concerns about the availability of diesel and other petroleum products. The international energy market will remain one to watch this week.

For South Africans, immigration is another issue that has resurfaced. The government has argued that asylum seekers should seek protection in the first safe country they reach. That raises questions about people travelling through other African countries before arriving in South Africa, including those coming from Malawi and elsewhere.

The question is whether the countries through which they travel can reasonably be regarded as safe for them. The circumstances of asylum seekers differ, so the issue is not necessarily as straightforward as it might appear. Nevertheless, immigration policy and border management are likely to remain contentious subjects in the weeks ahead.

Another development to keep an eye on is the health of former president Jacob Zuma, who was reportedly hospitalised last week. The seriousness of his condition was unclear in the information available to me. Speculation about the possibility of his death also raised questions about potential political unrest, particularly in KwaZulu-Natal. Such speculation should be treated cautiously, but the political consequences of a major development involving Zuma are worth bearing in mind.

With those issues on the radar, here is a look at the business news and corporate events to watch during the week beginning 12 October 2026.

South African Business: Results, Dividends and Corporate Developments

JSE corporate calendar

Boxer Retail

Boxer Retail Limited has released its condensed consolidated interim financial results for the 26 weeks ended 30 August 2026, together with a cash dividend declaration. Investors will be looking at trading performance, margins and the company’s outlook for the months ahead.

iOCO

iOCO is expected to release its full-year results for the year ended 31 July 2026, reportedly around 14 October. Management has forecast an increase of between 35% and 40% in net profit after tax. The published results will show how the company performed against that expectation.

South32

South32’s JSE ex-dividend date for its 2026 final dividend is listed as 15 October. Investors should consult the company’s official announcements for the dividend amount and the applicable dates.

Business Events and Networking

The French South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry has listed its Business Wine Club for 15 October, followed by the sixth Annual European Chambers’ Golf Day on 20 October at Randpark Golf Club.

International Developments to Watch

Energy, conflict and air travel

International news coverage is highlighting the effects of geopolitical conflict on commercial aviation and energy markets.

The Wall Street Journal has reported on the risks to air travel as conflict increasingly affects important flight routes. Disruptions to airspace can force airlines to change routes, adding time and cost to journeys while creating further uncertainty for passengers and businesses.

The Financial Times has also reported on European allies’ response to an agreement involving the United States, Russia and diesel supplies. The issue highlights the tension between energy security, international trade and efforts to put economic pressure on Russia.

These developments reinforce the importance of following energy markets alongside geopolitical events. Changes in fuel availability and prices can affect transport, manufacturing and the cost of doing business.

Bond markets and government debt

The 10 October edition of The Economist includes a briefing on the risks facing global bond markets.

Government borrowing and bond yields deserve attention because they influence financing costs across the economy. Countries already carrying substantial debt may face difficult choices if borrowing costs remain elevated, particularly when economic growth is weak.

For businesses, changes in bond yields can affect investment decisions, the cost of capital and the broader economic outlook.

Arts, Fashion and Entertainment

Several events are scheduled for the coming weeks.

• Reel to Reality Film Festival: The festival is scheduled to return to Johannesburg on 18 October, celebrating African storytelling through film.

• Amsterdam Dance Event: South African electronic music artists NAAk and Vumaala are listed to represent the country at the 2026 event.

• Pan Afrikan Design Week: The event is scheduled for 21–24 October at the V&A Waterfront in Cape Town.

• Elie Saab x H&M: The fashion collection is scheduled to launch in South Africa on 22 October.

• South African Fashion Week: The autumn/winter 2027 collections are scheduled to be presented at The Forum at Hyde Park Corner from 21 to 25 October.

The Lighter Side

Two unusual animal encounters have attracted attention online.

In one incident, a penguin was filmed hitching a ride on a swimmer’s bodyboard off the Cape Town coast. The footage prompted speculation about whether the bird was trying to escape a great white shark, although that explanation should not be treated as established fact.

In another incident, a warthog fleeing a leopard in Kruger National Park reportedly collided with a vehicle, briefly knocking itself out and dislodging the bumper before recovering and disappearing into the bush.

Quote of the Week

“The major city in the country needs to be turned around. It has been appallingly managed.”

— Hendrik du Toit, chief executive of Ninety One, commenting on support for a Johannesburg rescue plan.

Johannesburg’s difficulties remain an important issue for businesses and investors.


Editorial Disclosure & Disclaimer

Financial News Daily is an independent business news syndicate and a wholly owned subsidiary of Idea Accelerator. We publish financial, environmental and corporate commentary for digital platforms, media outlets and organisations. Nothing published here constitutes investment, legal or financial advice. All opinions are editorial commentary on matters of public and economic interest.

Who Cares About Wine Critics?

When you buy a bottle of wine from a bottle store, do you ever think about wine critics and what they have to say? Probably not.

Perhaps you look at the bottle for little stickers proclaiming awards. But unless you know what those awards represent, they don’t tell you very much. Then there are the round stickers announcing that a wine is particularly good, although they have nothing to do with awards. They can look rather like medals of distinction without actually being awards at all. Can you believe it?

But let’s get on to wine critics.

Where they really matter is in the wine industry itself. I recently heard a winemaker talking about a particular wine farm in the Cape. She said that once the American critic Robert M. Parker Jr. had reviewed the estate’s wines, the farm no longer had to worry about sales. They rocketed.

Of course, getting the attention of a critic of Parker’s standing is no small achievement. His reputation was built over decades, and his verdicts could have a remarkable effect on the fortunes of wine producers. He helped popularise the 100-point scoring system, which became an influential means of evaluating and marketing wine internationally.

Parker retired from The Wine Advocate in 2019, but his influence on the wine trade remains part of its history.

Another name familiar to anyone following international wine criticism is Jancis Robinson, the British wine writer and Financial Times columnist. She is one of the most respected figures in the field. Here in South Africa, British Master of Wine Tim Atkin has become an influential voice through his annual reports on our wine industry. His assessments of local producers attract considerable attention, including from overseas buyers.

South Africa has its own established critics, too. Michael Fridjhon, a veteran wine writer, judge and commentator, has long been a leading authority on the local industry. Christian Eedes, editor of Winemag.co.za, also plays an important role in evaluating South African wines and reporting on the producers behind them.

These are people whose opinions can influence reputations, prices and export sales. Their work matters to wine farms, distributors, retailers and serious collectors.

But how many ordinary wine drinkers follow their recommendations?

For most people, I suspect, choosing wine is a much more personal business. They might discover that they like Chardonnay, for example, find a producer whose wines suit their taste and stick with it. There’s nothing wrong with that. Why change something you enjoy?

Others prefer to experiment. I’m doing that myself at the moment, moving away from the safe and steady Merlot to explore other reds, including Pinot Noir and Syrah. I’ve also worked my way through Pinotage, Shiraz and Cabernet Sauvignon.

But experimentation can become an expensive business. At the wine tasting on Wednesday evening, the wines ranged in price from R338 to R413 a bottle. Six bottles at R400 each would cost R2,400 for a case. That’s a considerable sum to spend on wine, particularly if you’re not entirely sure what you’re getting.

At those prices, you really need to know what you’re doing. Or perhaps you need to be prepared to take a chance.

Buying expensive wine is a little like buying a painting. How do you decide what a painting is worth? Is it the quality of the artwork, the reputation of the artist, the period in which it was produced or simply what somebody is prepared to pay for it?

Much the same questions apply to wine. The producer’s reputation, the quality of the vintage, the opinions of critics and the perceived scarcity of a particular bottle can all influence its price. But none of these guarantees that you will enjoy drinking it.

Taste is personal. A wine that earns glowing reviews and a near-perfect score might leave you cold, while a less celebrated bottle could turn out to be just what you wanted.

Wine critics undoubtedly wield considerable influence in the industry. Their opinions can help make or break reputations, open export markets and persuade buyers to pay more for particular wines.

But when it comes to the average wine drinker, many people probably don’t know who these critics are, let alone read their reviews before heading to the bottle store.

Perhaps that’s just as well. After all, we’re the ones who have to drink the wine.


Editorial Disclosure & Disclaimer

Financial News Daily is an independent business news syndicate and a wholly owned subsidiary of Idea Accelerator. We publish financial, environmental and corporate commentary for digital platforms, media outlets and organisations. Nothing published here constitutes investment, legal or financial advice. All opinions are editorial commentary on matters of public and economic interest.