Liquidations in First Half of 2026 Are a Grave Warning for South Africa

South Africa liquidated 1,361 businesses in the first half of 2026. That number is slightly lower than the same period last year. But don’t be misled by the 0.9% decline. Behind the headline figure is a far more disturbing story: small and medium-sized businesses are being squeezed from both sides, by rising costs and weakening demand.

Data released by Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) shows that 1,361 businesses were liquidated during the first six months of 2026.

On the face of it, the 0.9% decrease from the same period in 2025 might appear encouraging.

It isn’t.

The more important story is what lies beneath the number.

South Africa is quietly losing the small and medium-sized businesses that form the backbone of local economies and provide a substantial share of employment. Their disappearance rarely makes national headlines. But hundreds of closures, spread across towns, suburbs and business districts, gradually drain communities of jobs, spending and tax revenue.

Small Businesses Bear the Brunt

A common assumption during an economic downturn is that business failures are driven by large corporations.

That isn’t how liquidation generally works.

Large industrial groups and major listed companies have access to considerably more capital and restructuring options. They can sell assets, refinance debt or enter business rescue long before liquidation becomes inevitable.

Clarification on Tongaat Hulett: Despite the company’s high-profile financial difficulties, Tongaat Hulett has not been liquidated. It remains under Business Rescue, initiated in October 2022, while it implements a restructuring plan under the Vision Consortium.

The liquidation figures tell a different story at the smaller end of the economy.

Private companies (Pty) Ltds) account for approximately 95% of categorised business closures, while close corporations continue to experience high failure rates because they generally have much thinner cash-flow buffers.

The hardest-hit sectors include finance, real estate and business services, followed by trade, catering and accommodation.

This matters.

When a major corporation fails, thousands of jobs can be lost in one highly visible event. When hundreds of small businesses disappear quietly, the damage is spread across the economy and becomes much easier to ignore.

But the economic effect is no less real.

Compulsory Liquidations Are the More Ominous Signal

There is another warning hidden in the figures.

Roughly 91% of liquidations in the first half of 2026 were voluntary, meaning that owners chose to wind up their businesses.

But compulsory liquidations increased year-on-year.

That is a much more worrying indicator.

A voluntary liquidation can mean that an owner has decided that the business is no longer viable and would rather close it down than continue losing money.

A compulsory liquidation is different.

It means creditors have gone to court because they cannot recover what they are owed.

By the time that happens, cash reserves have generally been exhausted and conventional attempts to restructure the debt have failed.

In other words, the business has run out of road.

This Is More Than the “Cost of Doing Business”

It is easy to blame business failures on the familiar phrase “the cost of doing business.”

And there is plenty of evidence to support that argument.

But rising costs are only one side of the problem.

The real pressure on South African SMEs comes from a vicious squeeze.

The SME Compression Cycle

Supply-side pressures

• Soaring fuel costs

• High interest rates

• Rising electricity tariffs

• Tax and debt-recovery pressures

• Increasing security costs

Demand-side pressures

• Stagnant household disposable income

• High consumer debt

• Reduced discretionary spending

• Weak retail demand

The result is straightforward:

Rising costs + weak demand = squeezed margins ? cash-flow pressure ? shutdown or liquidation.

The Supply-Side Squeeze

Fuel and energy costs continue to put pressure on operating margins.

The cost of borrowing remains another problem. Even where interest rates have eased from their peaks, debt remains expensive for businesses that need working capital to survive or expand.

Then there is SARS.

The South African Revenue Service has a legitimate responsibility to collect taxes. But aggressive debt-recovery action can leave a struggling small business with very little room to negotiate its way through a temporary cash-flow crisis.

For a large company, a financial squeeze can sometimes be absorbed.

For a small business operating on thin margins, it can be fatal.

The Demand Problem

There is another side to the equation that receives less attention.

Customers have to spend money.

A business can survive rising costs if its revenues rise with them. But when household disposable income is under pressure, consumers cut back.

They postpone purchases.

They trade down.

They stop eating out.

They buy less.

That leaves small businesses caught between rising costs and declining revenue.

No amount of clever management can indefinitely overcome that combination.

Then There Are the Problems That Don’t Appear on the Balance Sheet

The liquidation figures also have to be viewed against South Africa’s broader structural problems.

Policy uncertainty has made it difficult for businesses to plan with confidence. The country still lacks the sort of clear, coherent economic growth strategy that would encourage sustained investment and give local businesses greater certainty about the future.

Then there are the logistics problems.

Freight transport, ports and municipal infrastructure remain sources of friction and additional cost. Decades of underinvestment and inefficiency effectively impose another tax on businesses that move physical goods.

And then there is crime.

Small businesses increasingly have to contend with theft, extortion, protection rackets and the cost of security simply to protect their premises, staff and stock.

These costs rarely appear as a single line item called “failure of the state.”

They are scattered through the accounts as security, insurance, lost working hours, damaged equipment, delayed deliveries and lost sales.

But they are real costs.

Traditional economic commentary tends to describe these problems in sanitised language such as “headwinds”, “infrastructure constraints” and “operational challenges”.

Ask the owner of a small business trying to keep the doors open and the language is likely to be rather less diplomatic.

Where Does This Leave South Africa?

The obvious question is: What can actually be done?

The first step in fixing any crisis is acknowledging that it exists.

That is precisely what seems to be missing.

The government appears deaf to the warning bells coming from the trade and service sectors. Instead of decisive economic relief and structural reform, businesses are confronted with policy inertia while the pressures continue to accumulate.

There is no magic solution.

South Africa needs stronger economic growth, reliable infrastructure, functioning logistics, greater policy certainty and a far more hostile environment for organised crime and corruption.

It also needs an economy in which consumers have enough disposable income to spend.

Those are not quick fixes.

Meaningful structural reform may ultimately require a fundamental political realignment. But political change does not happen overnight, and there is no immediate prospect of a change of government solving these problems.

In the meantime, the country’s business engine is being slowly stripped of its smaller components.

The 1,361 liquidations recorded in the first half of 2026 are therefore more than a statistic.

They are a warning.

South Africa’s small and medium-sized businesses are being squeezed from both sides. And unless something changes, the quiet death spiral will continue — one liquidation at a time.

What makes one small business more profitable than another?

By Chesney Bradshaw

Two small restaurant businesses started up, one after each other, in the same premises. After 18 months, the first business went to the wall and had to shut its doors. The second business took over the same premises also with a restaurant but business is strong and growing.

What made the difference between these two small businesses? What made one unprofitable and the other profitable?

If you are looking to open a new business, what key fundamentals will you look for when it comes to profitability? Even if you are presently running a small business it’s worth looking at these key fundamentals because you may be missing out on profit opportunities. Without running your business profitably you are unfortunately not going to make it over the medium-to long-term. As a start-up or any individual who is starting any income-generation opportunity, you need to carefully consider how profitable your business is going to be. Continue reading “What makes one small business more profitable than another?”

Will it fly? How do you know if your new business idea has been formed under the wrong assumptions… before you take the leap

Are you ready for the Thanksgiving turkey?

In Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s book The Black Swan, he has the example of the Thanksgiving turkey that leads a comfortable life for about 999 days, eating and ranging around a small patch of grass. The turkey becomes comfortable and assumes this cycle of eat-relax-sleep will continue on indefinitely. But on the thousandth day, Taleb’s Thanksgiving turkey finds his head on the chopping block and the good times come to an abrupt end. Continue reading “Will it fly? How do you know if your new business idea has been formed under the wrong assumptions… before you take the leap”

Original ideas — do you think they have any legs?

 

We went by train to Port Elizabeth in April 2017. Almost all the railway stations were in the same condition as this one at Koppies. But where has the maintenance budget monies gone? New ideas are needed to encourage local and foreign tourism.

An Internet marketer was saying on his podcast that the original business ideas don’t work. A start-up just doesn’t have the deep pockets to advertise an original product or service. Far better, he said, is to copy something that is already working.

Before you read further, why not subscribe to the ideaccelerator.co.za newsletter now.

Is it really as simple as this? Well, for one thing if you see what is already available on the market and is being advertised, there is a good chance that the product or service has found a target markets and is bringing in revenue for the start-up or small business. The veteran Internet marketer’s advice was to go for niche markets that are already proving themselves. The trick is to check out the product or service, find its holes, flaws and shortcomings and then to produce something better. Continue reading “Original ideas — do you think they have any legs?”

How many business formats do you know that remain a sure thing like snoek kop sop?

Long  past the glory days of  100-a-man snoek in False Bay.  Copyright 2016 Chesney Bradshaw
Long past the glory days of 100-a-man snoek in False Bay. Copyright 2016 Chesney Bradshaw

We drove out during the festive season to Millers Point to buy fresh Snoek from the professional ski boat fishermen at the Rumbly Bay slipway.

The Snoek was in very good condition and was a large one with a humongous head. I couldn’t throw the head away because it had so much potential to make tasty Snoek head soup. This delicacy was a staple in our household growing up. Continue reading “How many business formats do you know that remain a sure thing like snoek kop sop?”

Promises flying like lies from politicians’ lips

Credit: Unsplash
Credit: Unsplash

A while back a report stated that more than 40 tertiary colleges were degree or diploma mills or not properly registered to do what they are offered. These so-called colleges inflict financial loss on unsuspecting students who spend their money on certificates that carry no weight or future. It is also a disappointment and setback for young people who think that these qualifications can be an entry pass to the future. Continue reading “Promises flying like lies from politicians’ lips”

At least this supermarket gives a leg up to start-ups

2016-04-30-13-34-03We were travelling through the Karoo in 34° heat. It was lunch time and during the festive season we didn’t want to stop at one of those service stations owned by the giant conglomerates that want their customers to bring two rand coins to use their toilets.

So we went down the back road and found a supermarket where we could order burgers at a third of the price of the giant service stations, get cold drinks at half the price, coffee at two thirds of the price and warm, friendly service. While we were waiting for the burgers to be prepared we wondered around the supermarket and came across an amazing display – that you won’t find in many supermarkets. Continue reading “At least this supermarket gives a leg up to start-ups”

Should you start out with a smaller project before you take the leap and run a full-scale business?

img_1805-cb-portrait-tiny-1By Chesney Bradshaw

About a year ago a fast food flame-grilled chicken outlet with a restaurant opened up in the local neighbourhood. The previous premises were completely refurbished at great expense, a new kitchen built, the table arrangement changed and the outside decor was modernised with the latest signage. The doors opened, the store traded for about 6 to 8 months and then shut down.

Just imagine how much money the owner put into this restaurant. No expense was spared at bringing it up to a level that matched or even in some cases surpassed the giant fast-food chain stores. Sometimes it’s like this. A would-be owner of a small business needs to start up with everything ready so that they can serve customers with the quality and price perception that they are trying to create. To go smaller or with less bells and whistles might mean a turn off for customers. Yet the risk of going full-scale is much higher because simply the market hasn’t been tested for demand. Continue reading “Should you start out with a smaller project before you take the leap and run a full-scale business?”

Is it possible to manufacture your own lucky breaks?

2016-05-02-18-57-22
Aspatat Farm, Aranos, Namibia, Copyright Chesney Bradshaw 2016

A business person was caught in a situation where he received ugly treatment from a media company and decided to throw in the towel.

There is only so much that anyone can take.

Unfortunately, despite value statements engraved in brass plaques or high-gloss and framed posters, some companies do not live up to their espoused values.

Anyway, this business person left and a few days later received a call out of the blue to say that the lease had expired on a small restaurant and would the business person like to take it over. Continue reading “Is it possible to manufacture your own lucky breaks?”

Would you do this for fun?

Credit: Unsplash
Credit: Unsplash

When I started out researching, interviewing and experimenting for my book “Breakthrough Ideas” I wanted practical, hands-on tools and resources that would give people the best possible chance and actionable results.

I pride myself on action orientation and leadership of change and used these qualities to go beyond deep research into the subject of turning new business ideas into viable products and services. I collaborated with several start-ups and experienced small business people to test-drive my concepts to ensure that they work in the real world.

One key ingredient was to ensure that the tools and techniques would be fun to use. This is important. Why would you put all the hard work, time and money into developing a promising new idea unless it was going to be fun to do?

One of the celebrity entrepreneurs who I admire says that you should ask yourself when pursuing an idea whether you would do it for fun. This comes from an entrepreneur who started at the very bottom and worked his way up. He’s not someone who has become rich and famous and dishes out advice to extend his brand personality. No, this entrepreneur walks his talk. He has a genuine interest in helping others do well for themselves – a rare quality.

Pursuing an idea that you want to turn into a small business needs to be fun. It especially needs to be fun if you think you are eventually going to make a living from it and it will be your main lifestyle. You need to put in the extra hours, burn the midnight oil, suffer the pain of the challenges that are presented to you and work weekends until you don’t even know what a break feels like. Of course, you need to take breaks but you know what I mean.

The important ingredient of fun comes with the underlying belief that doing something for yourself, starting something from scratch and making it work gives you a freedom that others year for.

Yet once you have earned your freedom through the vehicle of a successful enterprise you need to be extra careful to not give that freedom away. What do I mean by this? It’s simple. You can so easily give your freedom away to bankers when you take out loans. You can give your freedom away to shareholders who take a cut of your business. You can give your freedom away to a landlord who sinks you and your business into a deep spiral of debt by jacking up your rental with exorbitant annual increases.

You have to be on your guard. All of these and many other traps lie in wait for the unwary. They may be furthest from your mind when you start out but when you plan your formal legal structure, access to finance and location it’s important to consider how much of your freedom you are giving away to others.

Yes, that celebrity entrepreneur knows what he is talking about when he says ask yourself whether you are doing this for fun. It sounds like an innocuous question but behind it is really how much meaning does it give to you and how much freedom?